Six-Bagger For The Feds On TMX?
Here are three things we thought You Should Know this week:
1. Note to CEOs: Here’s how you send a follow up email - Thanks to Sundie Seefried, CEO of Safe Harbor Financial (SHFS-Q US$0.54 Mkt Cap US $23million) for one of the strongest follow-up notes to our network I’ve seen in a long time. It landed in my Inbox yesterday - short, clear, precise with some colorful graphics and full of information.
Here’s the first part of it - with a nice plug to our network in Canada under the leadership of Alexis de la Renaudiere. If you’d like to see the rest of this email, let me know.
Hello Canadian Neighbors!
I am now feeling rested after my whirlwind trip of 12 days on the road with Peterson Capital. Thank you for your hospitality and giving me your time to present information regarding Safe Harbor Financial! I thought it would be good to reach out and to ensure you have access to me directly for any questions going forward. I will also send regular updates to ensure you are in the loop with Safe Harbor Financial highlights! Please note all information provided is publicly disclosed information
If you purchased any shares, and are willing to share that information with me, I’d like to add you to an actual investor list that would provide additional information as we host investor days and/or earnings calls in the future. I would also be sure to advise when I may return to Canada to meet face to face with you.
You may reach me directly at Sundie.Seefried@SHFinancial.org. I will make myself available for calls and/or meetings, that would include our CFO, if you would like.
After leaving Canada, we hosted our earnings call in May. I thought I’d share some highlights from the call and first quarter. Below are some highlights I think you will find of interest:
Stock Performance since my return from Canada:
(Source: NASDAQ – SHFS)
2. The rain (of wealth) in Spain is easy to explain - Our very own Peterson Capital’s Peter Cowan and Nicole Loghin (pictured below with Justin Holland of Eguana Technologies today in Frankfurt) recently opened up a network for us in Madrid. If you check out this recent article from Bloomberg about the massive influx of family wealth into Madrid from Mexico, you’ll see why our clients are beating a path to our door to get in front of the 15 family office CEOs and fund managers who are wanting to see our top growth stories: Madrid Luxury Property Prices Soar as Rich Latin Americans Flood Market - Bloomberg.
3. Justin Trudeau - Pipeline Champion? Check out this Globe and Mail op-ed by Andrew Willis, and you might see why this audacious notion may be true.
Last Friday Trans Mountain Corp. - which operates Canada’s only pipeline delivering oil to the West Coast of Canada - told regulators what it plans to charge producers once the nearly completed twining of the existing pipeline is done, nearly tripling its capacity to 890,000 barrels per day. Bank of Nova Scotia estimated TMX’s EBITDA would jump from $180 million this year to $2.4 billion next year and $2.6 billion in 2026. There’s now a line-up of bidders for a minority stake in the entire project today that analysts say is worth $26-$29 billion.
In August of 2018 the federal gov’t paid $4.5 billion for the TMX line from Kinder Morgan, as a buyer of last resort and has since provided guarantees for further cost escalation that has seen the project go from an estimated $7.4 billion cost to $30.9 billion.
Without the fed intervention under Prime Minister Trudeau, TMX wouldn’t have been built. Canadian oil producers would still be saddled with the issue of selling their crude for less than their US counterparts. As Willis points out in his column, “Just the prospect of Trans Mountain being completed is already narrowing that gap.”
There’s no doubt that at some point the gov’t will sell either a minority stake or the full ownership of TMX. If today’s valuation sticks - and there’s no reason it doesn’t - that would be a nice 6x return for a Liberal government. Especially just before the 2025 federal election.
Here is next week’s roadshow schedule - please let us know if you’d like to attend any of these luncheon meetings:
Thank you so much for your continued support and interest.
Rick Peterson,
Chair